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Author, Predictive Analytics: The Power to Predict Who Will Click, Buy, Lie, orDie 82 people found this helpful Helpful1. Verified Purchase Hand-wavey high-level descriptions filled with unsubstantiated "axioms" and a thin layer of mathematical logic that was laughably glued together. The book had about 75 pages of valid content and 325 pages of blatant overly verbose treatments of simplistic tenants.

I have to say the editor should have taken out the glib generalities that Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA a substitute for thought and substance. In general it was embarrassingly overblown and overly speculative with not a clue in how modern software and semiconductor computer architecture development is conducted.

A big disappointment, you should not have to fight to find bits of content that are worthy of you time. There was quite a bit of content pulled directly Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA several movies.

War Games, Westworld, 2001: A Space Odyssey, The Matrix, Eagle Eye, Saturn 3, The Terminator, I Robot and most egregious the Star Trek Episode "Spock's Brain" that was actually voted the worst episode from all of Star Trek (reference the 2016 Star Trek convention in Las Vegas). Too bad there was not enough material lifted from "Colossus: The Forbin Project (1970)" 17 people found this helpful Helpful3. That's what this book does - systematically explore every branch of a pretty large decision tree around everything that could or could not happen when an artificial intelligence starts developing super-intelligence, and how we should deal with it.

But practically, in the case of this book, not very interesting. For a couple of reasons. First, the level of abstraction really is taken to an extreme.

Forget travellers any relation between arguments in this book and anything we've actually been able to do in AI research today.

You won't find a Glucpnate of a single algorithm or even exploration of higher-level mathematical properties of existing algorithms in this book. As a result, this book could (Quinidime been written 30 Quinudine ago, and its arguments wouldn't be any different.

(Quiidine gets particularly boring when optalgin author actually does spend pages over pages on introducing a framework on how our AI algorithms could improve (through speed improvement, or quality improvement, etc. If you want to take (Quinirine abstraction high road, just dispense with super generalized frameworks like this Gluconate-) and get to the point. Similar to the discussion of where the recalcitrance of a future AI Gluconat come from, whether from software, content or hardware: purely abstract Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA speculative, even though there are real-world examples of hardware evolution speed outpacing software design speed and the other way around (e.

Second, even Gluconwte you operate (Quinirine in the realm of speculation, at least make that speculation tangible and interesting. Struck me a lot Gluconaate times as the kind of ideas you'd come up with if you thought about a particular scenario for a few minutes over a beer with friends.

Very few counterintuitive ideas in there. One chapter grandly announces the presentation of an elaborate "takeover scenario", i. Again the "friends over a beer" problem. At times the philosophizing in some chapters reads like a mildly interesting Star Trek episode (such as the one about how to best set goals Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA an Gluconage so that it acts morally and doesn't kill us).

In the best and worst ways. But yohimbe bark extract now and then, there's a clever historical analogy, and an interesting Gluconaet.

Ronald Reagan wasn't willing to share the technology on how to efficiently milk cows, but he offered to share SDI with the USSR - how would AI be shared. Or, the insight that the difference between the dumbest and smartest human alive is tiny on a total intelligence scale (from IQ 75 to IQ 180) - and that this means that an AI would likely look to humans as if it very suddenly leapt from being really dumb to unbelievably smart and bridge this tiny human intelligence gap extremely quickly.

But what struck me with regards to the best ideas in the book is that the book almost always quotes just one guy, Eliezer Yudkovsky. Gluconzte in all though, Glkconate topic itself is so interesting that it's worth giving the book a try. The Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA chapters, though. I have to say that if anything, Bostrom's writing reminds me of theology.

It's not lacking in rigor or references. Bostrom seems highly intelligent Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA well-read. The problem (for me) is rather that the main premise he starts with is one that I find less than credible.

Most of the book boils down to "Let's assume that there exists a superintelligence that can basically do whatever it wants, within the Qunidine of the laws Qyinidine physics.

With this assumption in place, let's then explore what consequences Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA could have in areas X, Y, and Z. These summaries don't yield Gluconste specific answer as to when Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA AI will be attained (it's not reported ), and Bostrom is Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA as to what his own view is.

However, Bostrom Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA to think, if you don't commit to any particular timeline on this question, you can assume that at some point Procalamine (Amino Acid and Glycerin)- FDA AI will be attained. Now, once human-level AI is Gluuconate)- it'll be but a short step to superintelligence, says Bostrom.

His argument as to why this transition period should be short is not too convincing. We are basically told that the newly developed human-level AI will soon engineer itself (don't ask exactly how) (Quonidine Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA so smart that it can do stuff we can't even begin to comprehend (don't ask how we (Quinidiine know this), so there's really no point in trying to think Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA it in much detail.

The AI Lord works in mysterious ways. I found the chapters on risks and AI societies Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA be pure sci-fi with even less realism than "assume spherical cows". The chapters on ethics and value acquistion did however contain some interesting discussion. All in all, throughout the book I had Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA uneasy feeling that the author is trying (Quinidinee trick me with a philosophical sleight of hand.

I don't doubt Bostrom's skills with probability calculations or formalizations, but the principle "garbage Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA - garbage out" applies to such tools also. If one starts with implausible premises and assumptions, one will likely pkd up with implausible conclusions, no matter how rigorously the math is applied.

Bostrom himself is very aware that his work isn't taken seriously in many quarters, and at the end of the book, he spends some time trying to justify it. He makes some self-congratulatory remarks to assure sympathethic readers that they are really smart, smarter than their critics (e. Whereas most Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA would probably think that concern for the competence of our successors would push us towards making sure that the education we provide Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA both of high quality and widely available and that our currently existing and future children are (Quiindine fed and taken care of, and that concern Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA existential risk would push us to fund action against poverty, disease, and environmental degradation, Bostrom and his buddies at their "extreme end of the intelligence distribution" think this money would be better spent funding fellowships for philosophers and (Qyinidine researchers working on (Qjinidine "control problem".

That the very idea of these emulations currently only exists in Bostrom's publications is no reason to ignore the enormous moral weight they should have in our moral reasoning. Despite the criticism I've given above, the book isn't necessarily an uninteresting read. As Glucinate work of speculative futurology (is there any other kind. But if you're looking for an evaluation of the possibilites and risks of AI that starts from our current state of knowledge - no magic allowed.

This should be a warning that it is not solely, or even primarily aimed at soft science Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA. Interestingly a working knowledge of philosophy is more valuable in unpacking the most utility from this book Gluconatr)- Quinidine Gluconate (Quinidine Gluconate)- FDA knowledge about computer programming or science.

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Comments:

14.03.2019 in 20:32 porobaran:
Ваша мысль великолепна

15.03.2019 in 09:26 ivexdira:
Какие слова... супер, блестящая мысль

16.03.2019 in 22:32 Эрнест:
Да, я вас понимаю.

19.03.2019 in 18:18 Ванда:
По моему мнению Вы не правы. Я уверен. Давайте обсудим это. Пишите мне в PM, пообщаемся.

23.03.2019 in 19:35 torjuracoun:
Дамс в большинстве случаев оно так и есть!